Assessing international commonality in macroeconomic uncertainty and its effects
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
The macroeconomic effects of international uncertainty shocks
We propose a large-scale Bayesian VAR model with factor stochastic volatility to investigate the macroeconomic consequences of international uncertainty shocks on the G7 countries. The factor structure enables us to identify an international uncertainty shock by assuming that it is the factor most correlated with forecast errors related to equity markets and permits fast sampling of the model. ...
متن کاملMacroeconomic Effects of International Outsourcing
I present a two-country dynamic general equilibrium model of international outsourcing, consistent with the empirical observation that capital and unskilled labor are substitutes. The model predicts lower global savings and investment rates, lower real interest rates, and a change in the composition of U.S. foreign assets. The U.S. current account improves as a result of outsourcing. Nearly all...
متن کاملMacroeconomic, International Linkage and Effects of External Shocks in Southeast Asian Emerging Economies
This study is an attempt to examine the effects of external shocks on macroeconomic variables in selective small open emerging economies in Southeast Asia. A quarterly Global Vector Autoregressive (GVAR) model, including 33 countries, was used throughout 1979–2013. The empirical results showed that the target countries were affected by external shocks, especially the shocks in the U.S, Euro are...
متن کاملassessing political stability and instability in central asia and caucasus; case study, azerbaijan and kyrgyzstan
منطقه ی آسیای مرکزی وقفقاز به عنوان منطقه ای تاریخی و به دلیل دارا بودن ذخایر عظیم هیدرو کربنی از اهمیت ویژه ای برخوردار است. کشورهای این منطقه از عوامل عمده ی بی ثباتی نظیر عوامل جغرافیایی، اقتصادی، امنیتی، اجتماعی و سیاسی رنج می برند. پس از فروپاشی اتحاد جماهیر شوروی کشورهای منطقه از نعمت استقلال ناخواسته ای برخوردار شدند که مشکلات فوق را برای آن ها چندین برابر می کرد. در این روند برخی از این...
15 صفحه اولMacroeconomic Uncertainty and Firm Leverage
This paper investigates the link between the optimal level of nonfinancial firms’ leverage and macroeconomic uncertainty. We develop a structural model of a firm’s value maximization problem that predicts that as macroeconomic uncertainty increases the firm will decrease its optimal level of borrowing. We test this proposition using a panel of non–financial US firms drawn from the COMPUSTAT qua...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Journal of Applied Econometrics
سال: 2020
ISSN: 0883-7252,1099-1255
DOI: 10.1002/jae.2750